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🌟 Editor's Note

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This Week’s Big Charge

🛻 Auto Tariffs Don’t Mean Jobs—They Mean Higher Prices And Setbacks On The Road To Zero

As we all power through the dog days of summer, the conversations I have with folks in the auto industry feel grim. President Trump’s tariffs are starting to show their true impact, and the car business is taking some of the hardest hits.

Tariffs have been on everyone’s minds lately. That’s especially true in the electrification space. And during my conversation last week with investor Jiten Behl, he said something that stuck with me: “There have always been reasons to sort of doubt the transition towards electrification, and the latest one is tariffs.”

Not the end of the EV tax credit, or the effective end of fuel economy rules in America, but tariffs.

Why is that the case? Let’s break this down in terms of dollars and cents.

🛠️ How the “traditional” car companies are impacted by tariffs:

🛠️ How the startup automakers are impacted:

  • Rivian’s stock took a nosedive this week (though it has since rebounded) on news of losses from both the end of regulatory credits and tariffs—including on Chinese-sourced battery components and raw materials like rare earth magnets.

  • Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe said the company expects tariffs to add a "couple thousand dollars" of cost to each R1S and R1T it sells this year.

  • Lucid Motors incurred $54 million in extra costs from tariffs in Q2, one of the things its interim CEO says “keeps us up at night.”

  • Even as the “most American” manufacturer, Tesla warned of a "sustained uncertain macroeconomic environment” over tariffs on its earnings call in late July.

And that’s just this past week. Tesla’s right—this situation shifts quite a bit.

But here at Route Zero, I wanted to center the tariff discussion around what I’m seeking to chronicle: the move to zero-emission vehicles, zero crashes and zero fatalities.

And it’s hard not to see tariffs as a setback to all of those things.

📊 More Context:

  • Many automakers all over the world have significantly boosted their R&D and capital spending in recent years to scale up electric powertrains, advanced software and autonomous driving efforts. (The ones that haven’t are pretty behind on those efforts.)

  • By the way, that has included major R&D spends in the U.S., specifically.

  • Nominally, Trump’s tariffs are meant to bring auto manufacturing back to the U.S., which is a positive goal.

  • But building a new auto plant, or facilities to support one, can take the better part of a decade. And automakers that have invested in America already (see Hyundai’s Georgia Metaplant, for example) are still getting hammered here.

  • Automotive supply chains are heavily global. Parts and components come from everywhere, and rather than shift everything, companies may decide to ride the tariffs out until another administration hits reset on trade again.

🧠 My Take:

  • Faced with multi-billion-dollar tariff headwinds, automakers have two choices: cut back on development of new technologies or pass the cost onto the consumer. (See what Scaringe said above if you need proof.)

  • So far in America, car prices haven’t gone up much, if at all, due to tariffs. Automakers are absorbing those costs… for now. [Just Auto]

  • That doesn’t feel like it will last forever. Ultimately, this may just mean more expensive cars in the short- and medium-term. Cox Automotive predicts consumers will “see retail prices climb by 4–8% by year-end”, which will keep rising through 2026.

  • Not great news at a time when household budgets are already squeezed.

  • Or consumers will just see more de-contenting in new cars: same prices, fewer features, like during the pandemic’s supply chain crisis.

  • And they could set back investments in promising future tech, like cleaner cars or autonomous vehicles—while rivals in China manage to pull ahead.

I often say it’s not my job to defend the companies I cover. But it’s hard to see who’s winning in this tariff war—not the automakers, not everyday car-buyers, and not the road to zero.

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📰 More Stories That Matter

  • General Motors and Hyundai will team up to make five new vehicles, including a small electric van for North America. [GM Newsroom]

  • Rivian, at least, is on target for its factory expansion to build the $45,000 R2 coming next year. [InsideEVs]

  • The upcoming BMW iX3 will be much more than just another electric SUV: it’s a high-tech tour de force aimed at putting BMW on par with Tesla and China’s automakers. [Bloomberg]

  • Also debuting at Germany’s big auto show next month: the Mercedes-Benz GLC Electric, which leads a needed electric do-over at this storied company. [Autocar]

  • Give the Chevy Equinox EV its flowers: it became the best-selling non-Tesla EV ever in July. [InsideEVs]

🔍 On My Radar

  • Monday is gonna be a big deal for Ford. It’s promising a “Model T moment” at its Louisville, Kentucky plant, where it’s expected to unveil a new affordable EV and the platform it rides on.

  • We don’t know anything concrete about that vehicle yet, but it’s expected to be an electric truck. (Here’s more on Ford’s “skunkworks” EV plan.)

  • Car costs are turning into a major problem for consumers. One in four car trade-ins had negative equity in Q2 2025—the highest rate since the peak of the pandemic. [Edmunds]

  • Meanwhile, the Wall Street Journal reports that Detroit’s automakers are “rediscover[ing] their love of gas guzzlers” after the Trump administration kills EV tax credits and clean-car rules. Here’s why I think that’s a mistake.

  • I’m keeping an eye on the automakers who are using this moment to dial back their electrification plans. One may be Subaru, which has a green image but is a laggard on the powertrain tech front—it’s now planning for a 50/50 mix of combustion cars, hybrids and EVs “sometime after 2030.”

  • GM’s long-troubled former Lordstown, Ohio factory has been sold by Foxconn to… a mystery buyer? Email me if you know who it is. [TechCrunch]

🔌 Charging News

🤖Autonomy News

🧠 AI News

  • Tesla’s much-hyped Dojo supercomputer effort is dead. It was meant to train the AI behind its self-driving cars via a custom in-house chip, but amid a talent drain at the company, it will rely on external partners like Nvidia and AMD instead. [Bloomberg]

  • China’s EVs already often have advanced AI features, and now Xiaomi is rolling out its new MiDashengLM-7B model—for home gadgets and cars. These types of features are expected to become more common in the North American and European markets over time.

  • Case in point: Three unnamed “major” automakers will start rolling out voice-controlled AI from SoundHound AI, providing weather reports, sports scores and even restaurant recommendations.

  • Another frontier for AI: the car dealership experience, where it can aid and augment the efforts of already stretched-thin dealer staff.

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How’s My Driving?

This is a work in progress, so all feedback is welcome. Send me your thoughts anytime.

💡 Did You Know? The term “dog days of summer” originates from ancient Roman times. It refers to the “dog star,” Sirius, which appeared to rise with the sun in the late summer when yearly temperatures were at their peak.

Until next time,

—Patrick George

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